Liquidity Shocks and Pension Fund Performance: Evidence From Early Access
33 Pages Posted: 14 Jan 2021 Last revised: 18 Jan 2022
Date Written: January 18, 2022
We study how expectations of fund flows causally affect fund performance by exploiting a quasi-natural experiment in the Australian pension system where an unexpected policy change temporarily allowed fund withdrawals from a prespecified date in the future. Using fractions of young members, middle-aged members, and government co-contributions for low-income earners as instrumental variables, we find an insignificant effect of expected fund outflows on performance. A potential explanation is that Australian superannuation funds preemptively engage in liquidity management in response to changes in expectations of future fund flows and this helps to limit direct and indirect costs in the rebalancing process.
Keywords: Expectations, Fund Flows, Pension Funds, Fund Performance, Liquidity Management, Natural Experiment
JEL Classification: G11, G12, G14, G23, G51
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation