Forecasting Stock Market Crashes is Hard--Especially Future Ones: Can Option Prices Help?

Posted: 16 Dec 2014

See all articles by Eric Engstrom

Eric Engstrom

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Date Written: May 7, 2014

Abstract

Stock market gyrations are notoriously hard to predict, and not for lack of effort by legions of investors, market commentators and academics.

Suggested Citation

Engstrom, Eric C., Forecasting Stock Market Crashes is Hard--Especially Future Ones: Can Option Prices Help? (May 7, 2014). FEDS Notes No. 2014-05-07, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3750047 or http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.0017

Eric C. Engstrom (Contact Author)

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ( email )

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Washington, DC 20551
United States
202-452-3044 (Phone)

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