Assessing the Effectiveness of the Italian Risk-Zones Policy During the Second Wave of Covid-19

13 Pages Posted: 29 Dec 2020 Last revised: 30 Dec 2020

See all articles by Matteo M. Pelagatti

Matteo M. Pelagatti

Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS); Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Center for Interdisciplinary Studies in Economics, Psychology & Social Sciences (CISEPS)

Date Written: December 29, 2020

Abstract

On 4 November 2020, the Italian government introduced a new policy to address the second wave of Covid-19. Based on a battery of indicators, the 21 administrative regions of Italy were assigned a risk level among yellow, orange, red, and, starting on 6 November 2020, different types of restrictions were applied accordingly. In this work, we extract the daily growth rate of new cases, hospitalizations, and patients in ICU from official data using an unobserved components model and assess if the different restrictions had different effects in reducing the speed of spread of the virus.

Suggested Citation

Pelagatti, Matteo M., Assessing the Effectiveness of the Italian Risk-Zones Policy During the Second Wave of Covid-19 (December 29, 2020). University of Milan Bicocca Department of Economics, Management and Statistics Working Paper No. 457, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3756756

Matteo M. Pelagatti (Contact Author)

Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Department of Economics, Management and Statistics (DEMS) ( email )

Piazza dell'Ateneo Nuovo, 1
Milan, 20126
Italy

Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca - Center for Interdisciplinary Studies in Economics, Psychology & Social Sciences (CISEPS) ( email )

Piazza dell'Ateneo Nuovo, 1
Milano, 20126
Italy

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