Low Price-To-Book Ratios and Bank Dividend Payout Policies
BIS Working Papers No 907 (2020)
32 Pages Posted: 13 Jan 2021 Last revised: 10 Mar 2021
Date Written: December 9, 2020
Banks with a low price-to-book ratio have a greater propensity to pay out dividends. This propensity is especially marked for banks with a price-to-book ratio below a threshold of 0.7. As a sector, banks also tend to have higher dividend payout ratios than non-financial firms. We demonstrate these features using data for 271 advanced economy banks in 30 jurisdictions. Dividend payouts as a proportion of profits rise in a non-linear way as the price-to-book ratio falls below 0.7. In a hypothetical exercise with fixed balance sheet ratios, we find that a complete suspension of bank dividends in 2020 during the Covid-19 pandemic would have added, under different stress scenario, an additional US$ 0.8–1.1 trillion of bank lending capacity in our sample, equivalent to 1.1–1.6% of total GDP.
Keywords: dividend payout policy, banks, low interest rates, COVID-19 crisis
JEL Classification: G21, G35
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation