A Review of Decision-Support Models for Adaptation to Climate Change in the Context of Development

Climate and Development, 2014

12 Pages Posted: 9 Mar 2021

See all articles by John Nay

John Nay

Stanford University - CodeX - Center for Legal Informatics; New York University (NYU); Brooklyn Artificial Intelligence Research; Brooklyn Investment Group (BKLN.com)

Mark Abkowitz

Vanderbilt University

Eric Chu

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Daniel Gallagher

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Helena Wright

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: January 9, 2014

Abstract

In order to increase adaptive capacity and empower people to cope with their changing environment, it is imperative to develop decision-support tools that help people understand and respond to challenges and opportunities. Some such tools have emerged in response to social and economic shifts in light of anticipated climatic change. Climate change will play out at the local level, and adaptive behaviours will be influenced by local resources and knowledge. Community-based insights are essential building blocks for effective planning. However, in order to mainstream and scale up adaptation, it is useful to have mechanisms for evaluating the benefits and costs of candidate adaptation strategies. This article reviews relevant literature and presents an argument in favour of using various modelling tools directed at these considerations. The authors also provide evidence for the balancing of qualitative and quantitative elements in assessments of programme proposals considered for financing through mechanisms that have the potential to scale up effective adaptation, such as the Adaptation Fund under the Kyoto Protocol. The article concludes that it is important that researchers and practitioners maintain flexibility in their analyses, so that they are themselves adaptable, to allow communities to best manage the emerging challenges of climate change and the long-standing challenges of development.

Keywords: simulation modeling, agent-based modeling, cost–benefit analysis, GIS, decision-support tools

Suggested Citation

Nay, John and Abkowitz, Mark and Chu, Eric and Gallagher, Daniel and Wright, Helena, A Review of Decision-Support Models for Adaptation to Climate Change in the Context of Development (January 9, 2014). Climate and Development, 2014, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3763197

John Nay (Contact Author)

Stanford University - CodeX - Center for Legal Informatics ( email )

HOME PAGE: http://law.stanford.edu/directory/john-nay/

New York University (NYU) ( email )

Bobst Library, E-resource Acquisitions
20 Cooper Square 3rd Floor
New York, NY 10003-711
United States

HOME PAGE: http://nyu.edu

Brooklyn Artificial Intelligence Research ( email )

HOME PAGE: http://bkln.com

Brooklyn Investment Group (BKLN.com) ( email )

370 Jay St
Brooklyn, NY 11201
United States

HOME PAGE: http://bkln.com

Mark Abkowitz

Vanderbilt University ( email )

2301 Vanderbilt Place
Nashville, TN 37240
United States

Eric Chu

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Daniel Gallagher

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Helena Wright

affiliation not provided to SSRN

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