How the Massachusetts Assault Weapons Ban Enforcement Notice Changed Firearm Sales

51 Pages Posted: 16 Feb 2021

See all articles by Meenakshi Balakrishna

Meenakshi Balakrishna

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management

Kenneth C. Wilbur

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management

Date Written: February 4, 2021

Abstract

The Massachusetts Attorney General issued an Enforcement Notice in 2016 to announce a new interpretation of a key phrase in the state’s assault weapons ban. The Enforcement Notice increased sales of tagged assault rifles by 616% in the first 5 days, followed by a 9% decrease over the next three weeks. Sales of Handguns and Shotguns did not change significantly. Tagged assault rifle sales fell 28-30% in 2017 compared to previous years, suggesting that the Enforcement Notice reduced assault weapon sales but also that many banned weapons continued to be sold. Tagged assault rifles sold most in 2017 in zip codes with higher household incomes and proportions of white males. Overall, the results suggest that the firearm market reacts rapidly to policy changes and partially complies with firearm restrictions.

Keywords: Assault Weapons, Firearms, Natural experiment, Policy Analysis, Quasi-experiment

JEL Classification: D04, D78, H23, K42, L38, M31, R28

Suggested Citation

Balakrishna, Meenakshi and Wilbur, Kenneth C., How the Massachusetts Assault Weapons Ban Enforcement Notice Changed Firearm Sales (February 4, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3779510 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3779510

Meenakshi Balakrishna

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management ( email )

9500 Gilman Drive
Rady School of Management
La Jolla, CA 92093
United States

Kenneth C. Wilbur (Contact Author)

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management ( email )

9500 Gilman Drive
Rady School of Management
La Jolla, CA 92093
United States

HOME PAGE: http://kennethcwilbur.com

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