The Empirics of Long-Term Mexican Government Bond Yields
Levy Economics Institute, Working Papers Series
67 Pages Posted: 18 Mar 2021
Date Written: February 5, 2021
This paper presents empirical models of Mexican government bond (MGB) yields based on monthly macroeconomic data. The current short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on MGB yields, after controlling for inflation and growth in industrial production. John Maynard Keynes claimed that government bond yields move in lockstep with the short-term interest rate. The models presented in the paper show that Keynes’s claim holds for MGB yields. This has important policy implications for Mexico. The empirical findings of the paper are also relevant for ongoing debates in macroeconomics.
Keywords: Mexican Government Bonds, Long-Term Interest Rate, Short-Term Interest Rate, Monetary Policy, Banco de México (BdM), Banxico
JEL Classification: E43, E50, E58, E60, G10, G12
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation