The Political Settlements Dataset: An Introduction With Illustrative Applications

ESID Working Paper No 165. Manchester: Effective States and Inclusive Development Research Centre, The University of Manchester

31 Pages Posted: 20 Mar 2021

See all articles by Nicolai Schulz

Nicolai Schulz

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)

Tim Kelsall

Overseas Development Institute (ODI)

Date Written: January 19, 2021

Abstract

The social sciences have long been invested in answering the question of whether and how different configurations of de facto political power affect economic, political and social development. So far, however, a lack of adequate data has made it difficult to test the validity of contending frameworks and hypotheses across time and space. The Political Settlements (PolSett) dataset aims to fill this gap. This original expert-survey based dataset covers over 200 political economy variables coded for 42 countries in the Global South from 1946 or independence to 2018 (totaling 2,718 country-years). Allowing the detailed mapping of countries’ configurations of power, it captures information on the relative size, strength and social composition of contending political blocs in society, their internal cohesion, accountability relations and benefit distribution. The dataset further adds novel variables related to systemic threats, the strength of domestic capitalists, and the character of social and economic policy. Following a description of the dataset’s major features, validity and limitations, the paper applies one of its key indices – the Power Concentration Index – to five distinct political and economic outcomes to illustrate its potential.

The paper is accompanied by a political settlements dataset codebook.

Keywords: political settlements, political economy of development, political power concentration, coup, corruption reduction, industrial growth, quantitative methods, economic policy, threats

Suggested Citation

Schulz, Nicolai and Kelsall, Tim, The Political Settlements Dataset: An Introduction With Illustrative Applications (January 19, 2021). ESID Working Paper No 165. Manchester: Effective States and Inclusive Development Research Centre, The University of Manchester, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3782382 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3782382

Nicolai Schulz

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) ( email )

Houghton Street
London, WC2A 2AE
United Kingdom

Tim Kelsall (Contact Author)

Overseas Development Institute (ODI) ( email )

111 Westminister Bridge Rd.
London, SE17JD
United Kingdom

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