Getting to the Core: Inflation Risks Within and Across Asset Classes

96 Pages Posted: 17 Feb 2021 Last revised: 13 May 2024

See all articles by Xiang Fang

Xiang Fang

The University of Hong Kong

Yang Liu

The University of Hong Kong - Faculty of Business and Economics

Nikolai L. Roussanov

University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: April 30, 2024

Abstract

Do real assets protect against inflation? Stocks' core inflation betas are negative while their energy betas are positive. Currencies, commodities, and real estate also mostly hedge against energy inflation but not the core. These hedging properties are reflected in the prices of inflation risks: only core inflation carries a negative risk premium, and its magnitude is consistent both within and across asset classes, uniquely among macroeconomic risk factors. Energy inflation becomes more procyclical and volatile after 1990s, which helps explain the time-varying correlation between stock and bond returns. A two-sector New Keynesian asset pricing model accounts for these facts quantitatively.

Suggested Citation

Fang, Xiang and Liu, Yang and Roussanov, Nikolai L., Getting to the Core: Inflation Risks Within and Across Asset Classes (April 30, 2024). Jacobs Levy Equity Management Center for Quantitative Financial Research Paper , Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3787513 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3787513

Xiang Fang

The University of Hong Kong ( email )

Pokfulam Road
Hong Kong, Pokfulam HK
China

Yang Liu

The University of Hong Kong - Faculty of Business and Economics ( email )

Pokfulam Road
Hong Kong
China

Nikolai L. Roussanov (Contact Author)

University of Pennsylvania - The Wharton School ( email )

3641 Locust Walk
Philadelphia, PA 19104-6365
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

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