The Great Transition: Kuznets Facts for Family-Economists

66 Pages Posted: 25 Feb 2021 Last revised: 10 Nov 2021

See all articles by Jeremy Greenwood

Jeremy Greenwood

University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Nezih Guner

Centre for Monetary and Financial Studies (CEMFI)

Ricardo Marto

University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: April 8, 2021

Abstract

The 20th century beheld a dramatic transformation of the family. Some Kuznets style facts regarding structural change in the family are presented. Over the course of the 20th century in the United States fertility declined, educational attainment waxed, housework fell, leisure increased, jobs shifted from blue to white collar, and marriage waned. These trends are also observed in the cross-country data. A model is developed, and then calibrated, to address the trends in the US data. The calibration procedure is closely connected to the underlying economic logic. Three drivers of the great transition are considered: neutral technological progress, skilled-biased technological change, and drops in the price of labor-saving household durables.

You can download the Kuznets facts here: https://www.ricardomarto.com/data/

Keywords: average weekly hours, blue-collar jobs, calibration, college premium, education, family economics, fertility, housework, Kuznets, leisure, macroeconomics, market work, marriage, neutral technological progress, price of labor-saving household durables, skill-biased technological change, theory-based identification, user guide, white-collar jobs

Keywords: See Abstract

JEL Classification: D10, E13, J10, O10

Suggested Citation

Greenwood, Jeremy and Guner, Nezih and Marto, Ricardo, The Great Transition: Kuznets Facts for Family-Economists (April 8, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3790685 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3790685

Jeremy Greenwood (Contact Author)

University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics ( email )

Ronald O. Perelman Center for Political Science
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Philadelphia, PA 19104-6297
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215-898-1505 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://jeremygreenwood.net

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Cambridge, MA 02138
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Nezih Guner

Centre for Monetary and Financial Studies (CEMFI) ( email )

Casado del Alisal 5
28014 Madrid
Spain

Ricardo Marto

University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics ( email )

Ronald O. Perelman Center for Political Science
133 South 36th Street
Philadelphia, PA 19104-6297
United States

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.ricardomarto.com/

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