Covid-19 Fiscal Support and its Effectiveness
13 Pages Posted: 9 Mar 2021
Date Written: March 9, 2021
This paper uses a threshold-augmented Global VAR model to quantify the macroeconomic effects of countries’ discretionary fiscal actions in response to the Covid-19 pandemic and its fallout. Our results are threefold: (1) fiscal policy is playing a key role in mitigating the effects of the pandemic; (2) all else equal, countries that implemented larger fiscal support are expected to experience less output contractions; (3) emerging markets are also benefiting from the synchronized fiscal actions globally through the spillover channel and reduced financial market volatility.
Keywords: TGVAR, Covid-19, threshold effects, fiscal policy
JEL Classification: C32, E44, E62, F44
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