DETERMINANTS OF CREDIT RISK

Abstract

This study aims to empirically examine the impact of managerial effectiveness on the credit
risk of the Indian public and private sector banks. We consider the return on assets as a
proxy for managerial effectiveness and gross non-performing assets (GNPA) to total
advances as a proxy for credit risk. The study uses fixed effects and dynamic panel data
models to examine the impact. The econometric model estimations suggest a negative impact
of return on assets on credit risk. Further, we analyze the impact of return on assets by the
information of microeconomic and macro-economic variables in dynamic generalized
methods of moments (GMM) approach. The results remain the same after using dynamic
GMM modeled with lagged credit risk and lagged return on assets. Further, the effect of
macroeconomic variables such as repo rate and reverse repo rate confirms the theory.
Heterogeneity checks at regions and sector levels substantiate the robustness of results.

Keywords: Credit Risk, Non-Performing Assets, Loan Defaults, GMM Model, Dynamic Effects.

JEL Classification: G20, G21