A Note on COVID-19 in Eight Canadian Provinces

17 Pages Posted: 11 May 2021

See all articles by Mehmet A. Begen

Mehmet A. Begen

Ivey Business School, University of Western Ontario

Fredrik Odegaard

Ivey Business School, Western University

Jafar Sadeghi

University of Western Ontario - Richard Ivey School of Business

Date Written: April 20, 2021

Abstract

The coronavirus pandemic has posed many new, ambiguous and big challenges to people, business and governments at all levels - federal, provincial, and regional. In addition to the direct consequences from taking care of infected people, which in some countries and regions led to a virtual collapse of the healthcare system, the pandemic has further strained eldercare, employment and economic growth, and exacerbated mental health and social problems. During the first part of the pandemic, the main narrative focused on “flattening the curve” with many researchers providing forward looking predictions regarding the number of COVID-19 infections and deaths, and potential success of various strategies in curbing the spread of the virus. After a year of the pandemic, it is now time to look back, assess the numbers, and see what learning lessons there are. We present a non-parametric data-driven framework based on Data Envelopment Analysis to assess COVID-19 in eight Canadian provinces over the period March 2020 to March 2021. The objective is to derive worst- and best-case intra-provincial benchmarks to assess if things could have been worse and/or better. In order to take account for any indirect socio-economic impact our analysis incorporates monthly unemployment rates.

Note: Funding Statement: This research was supported by Discovery Grants (of both Mehmet A. Begen and Fredrik Odegaard) from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC).

Declaration of Interests: The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Keywords: Coronavirus; COVID-19; Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA); Data Analytics; Undesirable Outputs; Canadian Provincial Healthcare

Suggested Citation

Begen, Mehmet A. and Odegaard, Fredrik and Sadeghi, Jafar, A Note on COVID-19 in Eight Canadian Provinces (April 20, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3839912 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3839912

Mehmet A. Begen (Contact Author)

Ivey Business School, University of Western Ontario ( email )

1255 Western Road
London, Ontario N6G 0N1
Canada

HOME PAGE: http://www.ivey.uwo.ca/faculty/MBegen

Fredrik Odegaard

Ivey Business School, Western University ( email )

Ivey Business School
1255 Western Road
London, Ontario N6G 0N1
Canada

Jafar Sadeghi

University of Western Ontario - Richard Ivey School of Business ( email )

1255 Western Road
London, N6G 0N1
Canada

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