Dynamics of Secured and Unsecured Debt over the Business Cycle

57 Pages Posted: 11 May 2021 Last revised: 30 Nov 2022

Date Written: April 1, 2021

Abstract

This working paper was written by Paul Luk (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research) and Tianxiao Zheng (International Monetary Fund).

This paper studies corporate debt structure over the business cycle and its implications for aggregate macroeconomic dynamics. We develop a tractable macro-finance model featuring debt heterogeneity with both secured and unsecured debt. Unlike secured debt, unsecured debt gives the lenders no access to the borrowers’ assets in the event of default, and borrowers keep their assets at the cost of losing future access to the unsecured debt market. The difference in the nature of debt contracts leads to different risk taking behavior in the two debt markets. Our model generates strongly procyclical unsecured debt and weakly procyclical secured debt, in line with the stylized facts in US data. Moreover, we show that the inclusion of heterogeneous debt structures creates additional amplification effects relative to Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist (1999).

Keywords: Secured debt, unsecured debt, corporate debt structure, financial accelerator

JEL Classification: E32, E44, G32

Suggested Citation

Institute for Monetary and Financial Research, Hong Kong, Dynamics of Secured and Unsecured Debt over the Business Cycle (April 1, 2021). Published in Review of Economic Dynamics, Volume 44, April 2022, Pages 284-314, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research (HKIMR) Research Paper WP No. 10/2021, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3841430 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3841430

Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research (Contact Author)

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