Investment Funds, Monetary Policy, and the Global Financial Cycle

48 Pages Posted: 11 May 2021 Last revised: 18 Nov 2021

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: May, 2021

Abstract

This paper studies the role of international investment funds in the transmission of global financial conditions to the euro area using structural Bayesian vector auto regressions. While cross-border banking sector capital flows receded significantly in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, portfolio flows of investors actively searching for yield on financial markets world-wide gained importance during the post-crisis “second phase of global liquidity” (Shin, 2013). The analysis presented in this paper shows that a loosening of US monetary policy leads to higher investment fund inflows to equities and debt globally. Focussing on the euro area, these inflows do not only imply elevated asset prices, but also coincide with increased debt and equity issuance. The findings demonstrate the growing importance of non-bank financial intermediation over the last decade and have important policy implications for monetary and financial stability.

JEL Classification: F32, F42, G15, G23

Suggested Citation

Kaufmann, Christoph, Investment Funds, Monetary Policy, and the Global Financial Cycle (May, 2021). ESRB: Working Paper Series 2021/119, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3843007 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3843007

Christoph Kaufmann (Contact Author)

European Central Bank ( email )

Sonnemannstrasse 22
Frankfurt am Main, 60314
Germany

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