The Great COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout: Behavioral and Policy Responses

38 Pages Posted: 14 May 2021

See all articles by Chris Auld

Chris Auld

University of Victoria

Flavio Toxvaerd

University of Cambridge

Date Written: April 1, 2021

Abstract

Using daily data on vaccinations, disease spread, and measures of social interaction from Google Mobility reports aggregated at the country level for 112 countries, we present estimates of behavioral responses to the global rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. We first estimate correlates of the timing and intensity of the vaccination rollout, finding that countries which vaccinated more of their population earlier strongly tended to be richer, whereas measures of the state of pandemic or its death toll up to the time of the initial vaccine rollout had little predictive ability after controlling for income. Estimates of models of social distancing and disease spread suggest that countries which vaccinated more quickly also experienced decreases in some measures of social distancing, yet also lower incidence of disease, and in these countries policy makers relaxed social distancing measures relative to countries which rolled out vaccinations more slowly.

JEL Classification: C5, I12

Suggested Citation

Auld, M Christopher and Toxvaerd, Flavio, The Great COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout: Behavioral and Policy Responses (April 1, 2021). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16070, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3846160

M Christopher Auld (Contact Author)

University of Victoria ( email )

Victoria

Flavio Toxvaerd

University of Cambridge

Trinity Ln
Cambridge, CB2 1TN
United Kingdom

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