Developing a Provincial Destination Choice Model of the Philippines

Ong, A. (2021). Developing a Provincial Destination Choice Model of the Philippines. MSR working paper series Nr. 03-2021.

18 Pages Posted: 25 May 2021

See all articles by Adriel Ong

Adriel Ong

M&S Research Hub; DATSTAT Statistical and Research Consultancy

Date Written: May 25, 2021

Abstract

In light of increasing domestic travel demand, policymakers in local government units need to adjust to the growth in visitors. The Department of Tourism outlines a national tourism of strategy of increased investment to address deficiencies in infrastructure and lodging. In order to adapt the national policy to local needs, local government units need access to context surrounding visitors. Under the Additive Random Utility framework, we propose a multinomial logit model of provincial destination choice, with sampled alternatives, using data from the 2005 Household Survey on Domestic Visitors to provide needed context behind a domestic traveler's decision to go to a province. Using 8 predictors such as sex, age, marital status, and the like, we intend to capture each predictor's effects on the likelihood of choosing provinces with similar characteristics as well as each predictor's individual significance on the national level.

Keywords: Spatial, Provincial choice model

JEL Classification: L83, R11, R15, Z32, Z38

Suggested Citation

Ong, Adriel, Developing a Provincial Destination Choice Model of the Philippines (May 25, 2021). Ong, A. (2021). Developing a Provincial Destination Choice Model of the Philippines. MSR working paper series Nr. 03-2021., Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3852476 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3852476

Adriel Ong (Contact Author)

M&S Research Hub ( email )

Carlo Mierendorff Str.43
Kassel, 34132
Germany

DATSTAT Statistical and Research Consultancy ( email )

Lot 10 Block 4 Dona Carmen Street
Angeles, Pampanga 2009
Philippines

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