COVID-19 Information Treatments Shift Related Policy Preferences and Plans for Consumer Behavior

56 Pages Posted: 14 Jun 2021 Last revised: 8 Feb 2022

See all articles by Jonathan T. Rothwell

Jonathan T. Rothwell

Gallup; Brookings Institution

Christos Makridis

Stanford University; Institute for the Future (IFF), Department of Digital Innovation, School of Business, University of Nicosia; Arizona State University (ASU); Department of Veterans Affairs (VA)

Christina Ramirez

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)

Sonal Desai

Franklin Templeton Investments

Date Written: June 3, 2021

Abstract

We investigate the role of information exposure in shaping attitudes and behaviors related to the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic and whether baseline political affiliation and news diet mediate effects. To do so, we randomly assigned 5,009 U.S. adults to nine brief text-based segments related to the dynamics of the pandemic and the safety of various behaviors. We then estimate how the provision of information affects 15 binary outcomes related to COVID-19 policy preferences, expected consumer behavior, and beliefs about safety. Relative to a reference group, mean effects reach significance (95\% CI) in 47 out of 120 baseline models. The mean point estimate for significant effects is 7.4 ppt. The baseline effects are large for all outcomes except beliefs. By contrast, interaction effects by political party and media diet are significant for beliefs but rarely significant for policy and behavioral attitudes. These findings suggest partisan policy and behavioral gaps are driven, at least in part, by exposure to different and often low-quality information, and that equalizing information sources would lead to partisan convergence in beliefs about the safety of COVID.

Keywords: Beliefs, Behavioral Economics, Consumption, COVID-19, Expectations, Information

JEL Classification: C91, D83, E21, E71, I38

Suggested Citation

Rothwell, Jonathan T. and Makridis, Christos and Ramirez, Christina and Desai, Sonal, COVID-19 Information Treatments Shift Related Policy Preferences and Plans for Consumer Behavior (June 3, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3859751 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3859751

Jonathan T. Rothwell

Gallup ( email )

901 F St NW
Washington, DC 20004
United States

Brookings Institution ( email )

1775 Massachusetts Ave, NW
Washington, DC 20036
United States

Christos Makridis (Contact Author)

Stanford University ( email )

Stanford, CA 94305
United States

Institute for the Future (IFF), Department of Digital Innovation, School of Business, University of Nicosia ( email )

Nicosia, 2417
Cyprus

Arizona State University (ASU) ( email )

Farmer Building 440G PO Box 872011
Tempe, AZ 85287
United States

Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) ( email )

810 Vermont Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20420
United States

Christina Ramirez

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) ( email )

405 Hilgard Avenue
Box 951361
Los Angeles, CA 90095
United States

Sonal Desai

Franklin Templeton Investments ( email )

Multi Asset Strategies
P.O. Box 997152
San Mateo, CA 95899-7152
United States

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