Хозяйственное обозрение (февраль-май 2021 г.) (Survey of Current Business (February-May 2021))

Russian Economic Developments. Moscow. 2021. Vol. 28. No. 5. Pp. 24-31

8 Pages Posted: 29 Jun 2021

See all articles by Sergey Aukutsionek

Sergey Aukutsionek

Russian Economic Barometer

Andrey S. Yegorov

Primakov National Institute of World Economy and International Relations

Inessa Bachirova

Primakov National Institute of World Economy and International Relations

Tatyana V. Serzhantova

Primakov National Institute of World Economy and International Relations

Date Written: May 1, 2021

Abstract

Russian Abstract: В феврале 2021 г. на 12 п.п. снизился заметно выросший в последние несколько месяцев диффузный индекс трехмесячных прогнозов цен на выпускаемую продукцию, в то время как аналогичный индекс цен на покупаемую продукцию потерял всего 6 пунктов. Текущие индексы цен также продемонстрировали снижение, но более умеренное. Ощутимо (на 15 п.п.) вырос индекс трехмесячных прогнозов финансового состояния: он достиг 61%, что в последний раз наблюдалось в 2015 г. Ожидаемые изменения диффузного индекса портфеля заказов достигли трехлетнего максимума.

English Abstract: In February 2021, the diffusion index of three-month expectations for the prices of manufactured products, which had significantly increased in the past few months, decreased by 12 percentage points, while the similar price index for purchased products lost only 6 points. The current price indices also showed a decrease, but a more moderate one. The index of three-month expectations of financial condition increased significantly (by 15 pp). It reached 61%; last time it was so high in 2015. Expectations for the diffusion index of order book level reached a three-year maximum.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: Russia, industry, industrial enterprises, price level, wages, employment, output, investment, indebtedness to banks, order-book level, stocks of finished products, capacity utilization rate, financial situation, production restrictive factors, Россия, промышленность, промышленные предприятия

JEL Classification: D22, D24, G31, L23, P23

Suggested Citation

Aukutsionek, Sergey and Yegorov, Andrey S. and Bachirova, Inessa and Serzhantova, Tatyana V., Хозяйственное обозрение (февраль-май 2021 г.) (Survey of Current Business (February-May 2021)) (May 1, 2021). Russian Economic Developments. Moscow. 2021. Vol. 28. No. 5. Pp. 24-31, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3869017

Sergey Aukutsionek

Russian Economic Barometer

Moscow
Russian Federation

Andrey S. Yegorov (Contact Author)

Primakov National Institute of World Economy and International Relations ( email )

Russia

Inessa Bachirova

Primakov National Institute of World Economy and International Relations ( email )

Russia

Tatyana V. Serzhantova

Primakov National Institute of World Economy and International Relations ( email )

Russia

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