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What Impact Has Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 Incidence, Prevalence and Mortality During Second Wave of Pandemic in 2021: Observational Analysis of Bihar

13 Pages Posted: 29 Jun 2021

See all articles by Dr. Piyush Kumar

Dr. Piyush Kumar

Government of Bihar - Department of Health; Health Department, Government of Bihar

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Abstract

Background: My research aimed to assess the impact of lockdown on SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 pandemic 13 days before lockdown, first and second 13 days during lockdown, and 13 days after the lockdown on the trends in the incidence, prevalence and mortality in the state of Bihar, India, during COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods: The information on the number of cases and deaths due to COVID-19 pandemic in Bihar was obtained from Health Department Bihar, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, and lockdown data were obtained from online websites as well. The impact of lockdown for 13 days before lockdown, first and second 13 days during lockdown, and 13 days after the lockdown on the incidence, prevalence and mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Bihar was analyzed with Microsoft office and stata 15.1 for windows (64bit) will be used with Microsoft office in next version-2 of article.

Results: The findings showed that except for Incidence /100000/ new death there was a trend toward a decline, and except for Prevalence/100000/confirmed cases from beginning of pandemic all other prevalence have increased. The total and observation period mortality rate due to the COVID-19 pandemic also increased.

Conclusions: The findings indicate that 15 days after the lockdown, incidence, daily cases of COVID-19 and the growth of the disease showed a declined trend, but there was no significant decline in the prevalence and mortality.

Funding Information: Self sponsored. No aid taken from individual or agency etc.

Declaration of Interests: There are no conflicts / competing of interest.

Keywords: [comma separated]COVID 19, Lockdown, Quarantine, Prevalence, Mortality, Epidemiological trends, 2021Bihar, active cases, confirmed cases

Suggested Citation

Kumar, Piyush and Kumar, Piyush, What Impact Has Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 Incidence, Prevalence and Mortality During Second Wave of Pandemic in 2021: Observational Analysis of Bihar (6/20/2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3871321 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3871321

Piyush Kumar (Contact Author)

Health Department, Government of Bihar ( email )

Health Department
Patna, Bihar 800001
India

Government of Bihar - Department of Health ( email )

Patna, Bihar
India

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