Are Stock Buybacks Crowding Out Real Investment? Empirical Evidence from U.S. Firms

ExSIDE Working Paper No. 37-2021

31 Pages Posted: 14 Jul 2021

See all articles by Enrico Maria Turco

Enrico Maria Turco

Catholic University of Milan; University of Amsterdam

Date Written: September 1, 2018

Abstract

We investigate the role of financialization in the decline of investment for U.S. non-financial firms from 1992 - 2017. We show that the tendency to maximize shareholder value, fuelled by stock-based manager compensation, has led U.S. firms to divert resources from real investment to share repurchases to increase stock prices. Using micro-data from U.S. firms balance sheets and manager compensation, we estimate two dynamic panel data models: (i) to analyze the effects of share repurchases on capital investment; (ii) to examine the interaction between stock-based CEO pay and the likelihood of share repurchases. We find that stock buybacks have a negative effect on capital investment with this effect being stronger among large firms, operating in non-competitive markets. Moreover, an increase in stock options make firms more likely to repurchase shares. Our findings suggest that stock-based compensation creates incentives for managers to focus on increasing shareholder value by repurchasing shares at the cost of declining real investment and long-run growth.

Keywords: Share repurchases, stock options, investment, shareholder value, firm data

JEL Classification: C23, D20, G11, G31, G35

Suggested Citation

Turco, Enrico Maria and Turco, Enrico Maria, Are Stock Buybacks Crowding Out Real Investment? Empirical Evidence from U.S. Firms (September 1, 2018). ExSIDE Working Paper No. 37-2021, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3871631 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3871631

Enrico Maria Turco (Contact Author)

University of Amsterdam ( email )

Roetersstraat 11
Amsterdam, 1018 WB
Netherlands

Catholic University of Milan ( email )

1 Largo A. Gemelli
Milano (Milan), MI Milano 20123
Italy

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