Forecasting Imports of India Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average

International Journal of Business and Administration Research Review 2015

7 Pages Posted: 20 Jul 2021

See all articles by Prof. Jeelan Basha.V

Prof. Jeelan Basha.V

Vijayanagar Sri Krishnadevaraya University Ballari

Date Written: 2015

Abstract

This study attempts to forecast imports of India using Auto Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models of forecasting. Using data for 1971-72 to 2014-15, imports of India are forecasted for imminent 5 years starting from 2015-16 to 2019-2020. ARMA (2,1,2) are found appropriate for imports of India. Some diagnostic tests are also performed on fitted models and are found well fitted.

Suggested Citation

Basha.V, Jeelan, Forecasting Imports of India Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (2015). International Journal of Business and Administration Research Review 2015, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3874812

Jeelan Basha.V (Contact Author)

Vijayanagar Sri Krishnadevaraya University Ballari ( email )

Professor Of Commerce, Vijayanagara Sri Krishnadev
Cantonment
Ballari karnataka, KS KARNATAKA 583105
India
9986080829 (Phone)
583105 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://vskub.ac.in

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