Adjustment coefficients and exact rational expectations in cointegrated vector autoregressive models

21 Pages Posted: 8 Jul 2021

See all articles by Soren Johansen

Soren Johansen

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics; Aarhus University - CREATES

Anders Rygh Swensen

University of Oslo - Department of Mathematics

Date Written: June 28, 2021

Abstract

In cointegrated vector autoregressive models exact linear rational expectation relations can imply restrictions on the adjustment parameters. We show how such restrictions can be tested, in particular when the restrictions imply weak exogeneity of some variables.

Keywords: Abstract, Exact rational expectations; Cointegrated VAR model; Reduced rank regression; Adjustment coefficients

JEL Classification: C23

Suggested Citation

Johansen, Soren and Swensen, Anders Rygh, Adjustment coefficients and exact rational expectations in cointegrated vector autoregressive models (June 28, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3875330 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3875330

Soren Johansen (Contact Author)

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics ( email )

Øster Farimagsgade 5
Bygning 26
1353 Copenhagen K.
Denmark

Aarhus University - CREATES ( email )

Nordre Ringgade 1
Aarhus, DK-8000
Denmark

Anders Rygh Swensen

University of Oslo - Department of Mathematics ( email )

Pb. 1053 - Blindern
Blindern, N-0162, Os
Norway

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