АНАЛИЗ ВЛИЯНИЯ ЦИФРОВЫХ ВАЛЮТ НА ФИНАНСОВУЮ СИСТЕМУ И МОНЕТАРНУЮ ПОЛИТИКУ (Analysis of the Influence of Digital Currencies on the Financial System and Monetary Policy)

51 Pages Posted: 17 Aug 2021

See all articles by Andrey Zubarev

Andrey Zubarev

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research; Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Natalia Makeeva

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA)

Elena V. Sinelnikova-Muryleva

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA)

Kirill Shilov

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research

Date Written: January 13, 2021

Abstract

Russian Abstract:В работе рассмотрены различные вопросы, связанные как с теорией, так и с практикой мира цифровых валют. Подробно рассмотрен набирающий популярность сектор сервисов и услуг, основанных на технологии распределённого реестра, получивших название децентрализованных финансов (decentralized finance, DeFi), выросший за последний год с 700 млн. до 11,5 млрд. долларов США. По своей сути, в данном секторе строятся аналоги традиционных финансовых и банковских сервисов, в которых вместо соответствующих учреждений выступает совокупность смарт-контрактов, работающих в автоматическом режиме. Кроме того, в работе проанализированы теоретические риски и потенциальные выгоды от эмиссии цифровых валют центральных банков, а также рассмотрен мировой опыт пилотной эмиссии ЦВЦБ разными странами.
Мы рассмотрели связь криптовалют с друими финансовыми активами, а также протестировали наличие левередж-эффекта в динамике криптовалют. В работе также приводятся некоторые свидетельства в пользу существования положительной внутренней стоимости у Bitcoin на определенных промежутках времени.

English Abstract:The paper discusses various issues related to both theory and practice of the world of digital currencies. The growing popularity of the sector of services based on the technology of a distributed ledger, called decentralized finance (DeFi), is considered in detail, which has grown over the last year from 700 million to 11.5 billion US dollars. Different analogs of traditional financial and banking services are being built in this sector, in which, instead of the corresponding institutions, there is a set of smart contracts operating in an automatic mode. In addition, the paper analyzes the theoretical risks and potential benefits from the emission of digital currencies by central banks, and considers the world experience of the pilot projects of digital currencies in different countries.

We examined the relationship of cryptocurrencies with other financial assets, and tested the presence of a leverage effect in the dynamics of cryptocurrencies. The paper provides some evidence for the existence of a positive intrinsic Bitcoin value over some periods of time.

Note: Downloadable document available in Russian.

Keywords: emission of digital currencies

Suggested Citation

Zubarev, Andrey and Makeeva, Natalia and Sinelnikova-Muryleva, Elena V. and Shilov, Kirill, АНАЛИЗ ВЛИЯНИЯ ЦИФРОВЫХ ВАЛЮТ НА ФИНАНСОВУЮ СИСТЕМУ И МОНЕТАРНУЮ ПОЛИТИКУ (Analysis of the Influence of Digital Currencies on the Financial System and Monetary Policy) (January 13, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3889032 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3889032

Andrey Zubarev (Contact Author)

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )

Russia

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Natalia Makeeva

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Sredny av. V.O., 57/43
Moscow, St. Petersburg 119571
Russia

Elena V. Sinelnikova-Muryleva

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Sredny av. V.O., 57/43
Moscow, St. Petersburg 119571
Russia

Kirill Shilov

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )

Russia

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