Revisiting Retirement and Social Security Claiming Decisions

73 Pages Posted: 2 Aug 2021 Last revised: 4 Aug 2021

See all articles by Neha Bairoliya

Neha Bairoliya

University of Southern California

Kathleen McKiernan

Vanderbilt University - College of Arts and Science - Department of Economics

Date Written: July 30, 2021

Abstract

Why do individuals retire and claim their Social Security benefits at the age they do? Understanding the key drivers of these decisions has been an important topic of research as it can help guide policy discussions on the impact of potential reforms to the Social Security program. We revisit this crucial question by exploring new sources of heterogeneity in these decisions as well as novel mechanisms governing these trade-offs. Using data from the Health and Retirement Study and the Understanding America Survey, we first document (1) important heterogeneities in social security claiming behavior of men by their education and marital status, (2) strong correlations between health, labor supply and benefit claiming decisions and (3) significant misinformation related to Social Security program knowledge and survival chances at older ages. We then build a life-cycle model of consumption, savings, labor supply, and Social Security application decisions as well as heterogeneity in education, marital status and SS program knowledge. The model includes uncertainty in health, subjective survival, wages, and job separation as well as rich details of the U.S. Social Security program to understand why a majority of individuals claim Social Security benefits prior to their normal retirement age, despite large penalties associated with these early benefit claims. We show that the estimated model can closely match the claiming behavior as seen in the data and also produce differences in SS claims along the dimensions of heterogeneity considered. Counterfactual experiments indicate that precautionary motives, misinformation, and preferences governing future discounting as well as altruism, together, go a long way in explaining overall claiming behavior. Together, these forces can explain a third of the overall early benefit claims and two-thirds of age 62 claims– with varying intensities across education and marital groups.

Keywords: Retirement, Social Security

JEL Classification: J14, J26, E21, H55

Suggested Citation

Bairoliya, Neha and McKiernan, Kathleen, Revisiting Retirement and Social Security Claiming Decisions (July 30, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3896031 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3896031

Neha Bairoliya (Contact Author)

University of Southern California ( email )

701 Exposition Blvd
Los Angeles, CA 90089-1422
United States

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.nehabairoliya.com/

Kathleen McKiernan

Vanderbilt University - College of Arts and Science - Department of Economics ( email )

Box 1819 Station B
Nashville, TN 37235
United States

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