The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting

17 Pages Posted: 24 Aug 2021

See all articles by Jeffrey A. Frankel

Jeffrey A. Frankel

Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Randy Kotti

Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: 2021

Abstract

Across US counties, vaccination rates have a statistically significant downward effect on the Covid-19 death rate, as of August 12, 2021. Controlling for poverty rates, age, and temperature lowers the magnitude of the estimate a little. Using the Biden-Trump vote in the 2020 election as an instrument for vaccination rates raises the magnitude of the estimate. Presumably, it corrects for a positive effect of observed local COVID deaths on the decision to get vaccinated. Overall, the beneficial effect holds up.

Note: Funding: Randy Kotti's research assistantship, which is paid by the Center for International Development, Harvard University.

Declaration of Interests: None to declare.

Suggested Citation

Frankel, Jeffrey A. and Kotti, Randy, The Virus, Vaccination, and Voting (2021). HKS Working Paper No. RWP21-021, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3908033 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3908033

Jeffrey A. Frankel (Contact Author)

Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Randy Kotti

Harvard University - Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) ( email )

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