Till the Lockdown Do Us Part: Examining the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Marital Formation and Dissolution

40 Pages Posted: 21 Oct 2021

See all articles by Lauren Hoehn-Velasco

Lauren Hoehn-Velasco

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies

Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar

University Anahuac Mexico, Business and Economics School

Adan Silverio-Murillo

School of Government, Tecnologico de Monterrey

Sherajum Monira Farin

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Students

Date Written: October 20, 2021

Abstract

In this study, we consider the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on family formation and dissolution. We use national microdata covering all marriages and divorces in Mexico and an event-study design. Our findings indicate that over March through December of 2020, marriage rates declined by 54% and divorce rates by 43%. By the end of 2020, divorce rates recover back to baseline levels, but marriage rates remain 30% below the 2017-2019 baseline level. Overall, our findings indicate that marital dissolutions quickly recovered (6 months into the pandemic), but family formation may be delayed or even permanently reduced.

Keywords: COVID-19, pandemic, divorce rates, marriage rates, Mexico

JEL Classification: J11, J12, J13

Suggested Citation

Hoehn-Velasco, Lauren and Balmori de la Miyar, Jose Roberto and Silverio-Murillo, Adan and Farin, Sherajum Monira, Till the Lockdown Do Us Part: Examining the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Marital Formation and Dissolution (October 20, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3946458 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3946458

Lauren Hoehn-Velasco (Contact Author)

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies ( email )

Department of Economics
35 Broad Street, 6th Floor
Atlanta, GA 30303-3083
United States

Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar

University Anahuac Mexico, Business and Economics School ( email )

Av de las Torres 131
Olivar de los Padres
Mexico City, Mexico City 01780
Mexico

Adan Silverio-Murillo

School of Government, Tecnologico de Monterrey ( email )

Calle del Puente 222
Mexico City, 04210
Mexico

Sherajum Monira Farin

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Students ( email )

GA
United States

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