Marriage and Divorce During a Pandemic: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Marital Formation and Dissolution in Mexico

50 Pages Posted: 21 Oct 2021 Last revised: 21 Nov 2022

See all articles by Lauren Hoehn-Velasco

Lauren Hoehn-Velasco

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies

Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar

University Anahuac Mexico, Business and Economics School

Adan Silverio-Murillo

School of Government, Tecnologico de Monterrey

Sherajum Monira Farin

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Students

Date Written: May 1, 2022

Abstract

In this study, we consider the initial effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on family formation and dissolution. We use national microdata covering all marriages and divorces in Mexico, an event-study design and a difference-in-difference specification. Our findings indicate that over March through December of 2020, marriage rates declined by 54% and divorce rates by 43%. By the end of 2020, divorce rates recover back to baseline levels, but marriage rates remain 30% below the 2017-2019 baseline level. Overall, our findings suggest that marital dissolutions quickly recovered (6 months into the pandemic), but at the end of 2020, family formation remained at persistently lower levels.

Keywords: COVID-19, pandemic, divorce rates, marriage rates, Mexico

JEL Classification: J11, J12, J13

Suggested Citation

Hoehn-Velasco, Lauren and Balmori de la Miyar, Jose Roberto and Silverio-Murillo, Adan and Farin, Sherajum Monira, Marriage and Divorce During a Pandemic: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Marital Formation and Dissolution in Mexico (May 1, 2022). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3946458 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3946458

Lauren Hoehn-Velasco (Contact Author)

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies ( email )

Department of Economics
35 Broad Street, 6th Floor
Atlanta, GA 30303-3083
United States

Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar

University Anahuac Mexico, Business and Economics School ( email )

Av de las Torres 131
Olivar de los Padres
Mexico City, Mexico City 01780
Mexico

Adan Silverio-Murillo

School of Government, Tecnologico de Monterrey ( email )

Calle del Puente 222
Mexico City, 04210
Mexico

Sherajum Monira Farin

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Students ( email )

GA
United States

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