Why Plant-Level Productivity Studies are Often Misleading, and an Alternative Approach to Interference

50 Pages Posted: 11 Apr 2003

See all articles by Hajime Katayama

Hajime Katayama

Waseda University - School of Commerce

Shihua Lu

Charles River Associates

James Tybout

Pennsylvania State University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Date Written: April 2003

Abstract

Applied economists often wish to measure the effects of managerial decisions or policy changes on plant-level productivity patterns. But plant-level data on physical quantities of output, capital, and intermediate inputs are usually unavailable. Therefore, when constructing productivity measures, most analysts proxy these variables with real sales revenues, depreciated capital spending, and real input expenditures. The first part of this paper argues that the resultant productivity indices have little to do with technical efficiency, product quality, or contributions to social welfare. Nonetheless, they are likely to be correlated with policy shocks and managerial decisions in misleading ways. The second part of the paper develops an alternative approach to inference. Using Steven Berry's (1994, RAND Journal) representation of equilibrium in a differentiated product market, we show how to impute each plant's unobserved marginal costs and product quality from its observed revenues and costs, and how to use this mapping to calculate plant-specific welfare-based performance measures. (Bayesian estimation techniques are required because the vector of unknown parameters is under-identified.) The final part of the paper demonstrates our methodology using panel data on Colombian pulp and paper plants.

Suggested Citation

Katayama, Hajime and Lu, Shihua and Tybout, James R., Why Plant-Level Productivity Studies are Often Misleading, and an Alternative Approach to Interference (April 2003). NBER Working Paper No. w9617, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=394725

Hajime Katayama

Waseda University - School of Commerce ( email )

School of Commerce, Waseda University
1-6-1 Nishi-Waseda Shinjyuku-ku
Tokyo, Tokyo 169 - 8050
Japan

Shihua Lu

Charles River Associates

1201 F. St. NW
Ste. 700
Washington, DC 20004
United States

James R. Tybout (Contact Author)

Pennsylvania State University - Department of Economics ( email )

517 Kern Graduate Building
University Park, PA 16802-3306
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

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