Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 2021-102/IV
63 Pages Posted: 14 Dec 2021
There are 3 versions of this paper
Date Written: November 13, 2021
In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data- generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncer- tainty in sample estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation across researchers adds uncertainty: non-standard errors. To study them, we let 164 teams test six hypotheses on the same sample. We find that non-standard errors are sizeable, on par with standard errors. Their size (i) co-varies only weakly with team merits, reproducibility, or peer rating, (ii) declines significantly after peer-feedback, and (iii) is underestimated by participants.
JEL Classification: G1, C12, C18
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation