Gone with the Wind: Productive Response to Agricultural Shock

49 Pages Posted: 7 Feb 2022 Last revised: 3 May 2023

See all articles by Myriam Marending

Myriam Marending

Nova School of Business and Economics, NOVAFRICA

Stefano Tripodi

Prometeia SpA

Date Written: May 3, 2023

Abstract

How can we measure shock impact when assignment is not random across space? We use an identification strategy that relies on counterfactual shock simulations to measure medium term farmers’ adaptation to a weather-induced event. Using microdata from Ethiopia, we find a shift in agricultural production composition and an increase in household farm labour to smooth consumption. A producer-consumer approach reveals the farmers’ response not to be productivity- neutral in the medium term, while individual factors’ intensity is used to offset a decrease in partial productivity. The productive adaptations transmit over time through seeds acquisition behaviour and household labour reallocation.

Keywords: agricultural shocks, desert locust swarms, Development, climate change, farm productivity, Ethiopia

JEL Classification: C21, D13, Q12, Q18, Q54

Suggested Citation

Marending, Myriam and Tripodi, Stefano, Gone with the Wind: Productive Response to Agricultural Shock (May 3, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3989095 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3989095

Myriam Marending (Contact Author)

Nova School of Business and Economics, NOVAFRICA ( email )

Rua da Holanda, Nº 1
Carcavelos, 2775-405
Portugal

Stefano Tripodi

Prometeia SpA ( email )

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