Loss Aversion in New Zealand Housing

Abstract

We examine whether New Zealand home sellers are loss averse. Our empirical method is based on a large dataset of residential real estate transactions that exploits the most recent substantive housing downturn of 2007–2009. Consistent with loss aversion, we find that houses predicted to sell at a nominal loss realised a premium compared to houses predicted to sell at a nominal gain. We show how this finding causes house price indices to be ‘downward sticky’, preventing house price indices from falling by an additional two and a half percentage points during the downturn. Full paper available at http://doi.org/10.1080/00779954.2019.1631877

Keywords: Loss aversion, prospect theory, house prices, housing market