Update of Ssp GDP Projections: Capturing Recent Changes in National Accounting, PPP Conversion and Covid 19 Impacts

24 Pages Posted: 19 Jan 2022 Last revised: 8 Feb 2023

See all articles by Johannes Koch

Johannes Koch

Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK)

Marian Leimbach

Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK)

Abstract

In this study, an update of the SSP GDP projections is presented. The update captures the impact of the Covid 19 pandemic by using the most recent economic data and short-term projections by the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Harmonization between the data and the original end-of-the-century SSP projections was carried out in terms of GDP per capita in order to preserve the underlying narrative of income convergence. The result is a set of projections compatible with the most recent data and the SSP narratives.

Keywords: SSP scenarios, GDP projections, Covid 19 impacts, GDP at PPP

Suggested Citation

Koch, Johannes and Leimbach, Marian, Update of Ssp GDP Projections: Capturing Recent Changes in National Accounting, PPP Conversion and Covid 19 Impacts. Ecological Economics, Vol. 206, 2023, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4011838 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4011838

Johannes Koch (Contact Author)

Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK) ( email )

Marian Leimbach

Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK) ( email )

Telegrafenberg 31
Potsdam, Brandenburg 14473
Germany

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