The 2015 Refugee Inflow and Concerns Over Immigration

38 Pages Posted: 21 Jan 2022

See all articles by Katia Gallegos Torres

Katia Gallegos Torres

ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Date Written: 2021

Abstract

How did the large asylum-seeker inflow to Germany in 2015 affect concerns about immigration? Using individual-level panel data for the years 2012–2018, I show that after 2015 concerns about immigration increased by about 21 pp. and support for extreme right-wing parties by about 1.7 pp. These trends show considerable heterogeneity for different demographic groups. Using a policy that allocates asylum- seekers to districts I identify the effect of exposure to asylum-seekers. In line with the contact hypothesis, living in a high refugee migration district reduced concerns about immigration by 3 pp. The effect appears larger for right- leaning respondents but is otherwise similar across demographic groups.

Keywords: immigration, refugees, attitudes, concerns about immigration

JEL Classification: J15, D72, P16, R23

Suggested Citation

Gallegos Torres, Katia, The 2015 Refugee Inflow and Concerns Over Immigration (2021). ZEW - Centre for European Economic Research Discussion Paper No. 21-102, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4013658 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4013658

Katia Gallegos Torres (Contact Author)

ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research ( email )

P.O. Box 10 34 43
L 7,1
D-68034 Mannheim, 68034
Germany

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