Predicting the Future in Tort Law: Applying Forecasting Science to Innovations from Trampolines to Autonomous Vehicles

Jurimetrics: The Journal of Law, Science, and Technology, Forthcoming

27 Pages Posted: 16 Feb 2022 Last revised: 16 Aug 2022

Date Written: August 15, 2022

Abstract

Many predictions have been made, especially lately, about how tort law will interact with new technologies. But what can one actually foresee in this respect? This Article considers what lessons the emerging field of forecasting science might provide for predictions regarding tort law’s relationship with various innovations, and proposes a model for these forecasts that draws upon recurring patterns in the development and diffusion of innovations and in the industries that produce them.

Keywords: torts, tort, products liability, personal injury

Suggested Citation

Graham, Kyle, Predicting the Future in Tort Law: Applying Forecasting Science to Innovations from Trampolines to Autonomous Vehicles (August 15, 2022). Jurimetrics: The Journal of Law, Science, and Technology, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4031063 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4031063

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