Which Institutions Rule? Unbundling the Democracy-Growth Nexus

82 Pages Posted: 11 Feb 2022

See all articles by Vanessa Alexandra Boese

Vanessa Alexandra Boese

University of Gothenburg - V-Dem Institute

Markus Eberhardt

University of Nottingham - Leverhulme Centre for Research on Globalisation and Economic Policy (GEP)

Date Written: February 11, 2022

Abstract

Over the past two decades studies of the causal impact of ‘institutions’ and ‘democracy’ on economic prosperity have occupied a prominent position in the cross-country growth litera-ture and within economics more broadly. While this body of work establishes a consensus that ‘institutions rule’ (over trade and geography) and that ‘democracy causes growth’, what has been missing in the debate is an attempt to systematically trace some tangible building blocks of these abstract ‘bundles’ driving the positive relationship with economic development. In this paper, we adopt an encompassing concept of ‘liberal democracy’, covering underlying po-litical and economic institutions, which we unbundle using the hierarchical data developed by the Varieties of Democracy project. We sketch how the incentives and opportunities as well as the distribution of political power created and shaped by these underlying institutions, in combination with the extent of the market, endogenously form an ‘economic blueprint for growth’, which is likely to differ across countries. Furthermore, political learning and insti-tutionalisation imply a non-linear growth effect of institutional change within countries over time. We overcome these challenges by adopting a heterogeneous treatment effects estimator which allows for non-parallel trends in the run-up to and endogenous selection into institu-tional change. Our results for each underlying institution are presented as a function of ‘time in treatment’ and conditioned on the evolution of ‘rival’ institutions, enabling us to interpret them as empirical horse-races. We find that freedom of expression, clean elections, and leg-islative constraints on the executive are the foremost institutional drivers of economic devel-opment in the long-run. Erosion of these institutions, as witnessed recently in many countries, may jeopardise the perpetual growth effect of becoming a liberal democracy we establish for the post-WWII period.

Suggested Citation

Boese, Vanessa Alexandra and Eberhardt, Markus, Which Institutions Rule? Unbundling the Democracy-Growth Nexus (February 11, 2022). V-Dem Working Paper 131, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4032511 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4032511

Vanessa Alexandra Boese (Contact Author)

University of Gothenburg - V-Dem Institute ( email )

Sweden

Markus Eberhardt

University of Nottingham - Leverhulme Centre for Research on Globalisation and Economic Policy (GEP) ( email )

University Park
Nottingham, NG7 2RD
United Kingdom

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