When are expected credit losses decision-useful and new to investors? Evidence from CECL adoption

47 Pages Posted: 28 Feb 2022 Last revised: 17 Mar 2025

See all articles by Kurt H. Gee

Kurt H. Gee

The Ohio State University

Jed Neilson

Pennsylvania State University

Brent Schmidt

Pennsylvania State University - Department of Accounting

Biqin Xie

Office of Financial Research, U.S. Department of the Treasury

Date Written: March 17, 2025

Abstract

The Financial Accounting Standards Board replaced the “incurred loss” (IL) model with the “current expected credit loss” (CECL) model, which requires entities to recognize lifetime expected credit losses upon loan origination. We investigate four controversies surrounding CECL to provide evidence on when expected credit losses are decision-useful and new for investors. We examine whether (1) CECL allowances are only decision-useful for larger banks, (2) CECL allowances provide new credit loss information, (3) credit losses expected to emerge beyond one year are relevant for investors, and (4) separately reporting IL and CECL allowance amounts has more information content than reporting a single CECL allowance amount. Contrary to the views of community banks and evidence in prior literature, we find that CECL allowances are decision-useful for both small and large banks. However, CECL allowances are new information only for smaller banks. We also find that CECL allowances are decision-useful regardless of the loss emergence period, despite later-emerging losses being unrecognized under IFRS 9, CECL’s international counterpart. Finally, we find that reporting a single CECL allowance amount is relatively less decision-useful than an alternative accounting regime that reports incurred and expected future credit losses separately.

Keywords: CECL, expected credit losses, incurred loss, FASB, standard setting, IFRS 9

JEL Classification: M40, M41, M48, G21, G28

Suggested Citation

Gee, Kurt H. and Neilson, Jed and Schmidt, Brent and Xie, Biqin, When are expected credit losses decision-useful and new to investors? Evidence from CECL adoption (March 17, 2025). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4038479 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4038479

Kurt H. Gee (Contact Author)

The Ohio State University ( email )

2100 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43210
United States

Jed Neilson

Pennsylvania State University ( email )

University Park
State College, PA 16802
United States
8148650327 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://directory.smeal.psu.edu/jjn12

Brent Schmidt

Pennsylvania State University - Department of Accounting ( email )

University Park, PA 16802-3306
United States

Biqin Xie

Office of Financial Research, U.S. Department of the Treasury ( email )

717 14th St NW
Washington, DC 20005
United States

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