International Portfolio Bond Spillovers

Abstract

We analyze spillovers of financial conditions on international portfolio bond flows. We document significant US financial conditions spillovers using data from developed and emerging countries. To disentangle the nature of spillovers, we rely on panel spatial autoregressive models, and third market competition on global trade flows to capture direct and indirect effects. We find that 30% of US spillovers are due to indirect effects in mutual funds with a regional-target investment focus.

Keywords: International portfolios, spillovers, financial conditions