Misinformed or Overconfident? Fake News and Youth Voting Likelihood in the Philippines

29 Pages Posted: 6 Apr 2022

See all articles by Gabrielle Ann S. Mendoza

Gabrielle Ann S. Mendoza

School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University

Kier Jesse Ballar

School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University

Jurel Yap

School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University

Imelda Deinla, PhD

School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University

Date Written: March 23, 2022

Abstract

How can online misinformation affect the Filipino youth’s likelihood to vote? While the youth is recognized as a crucial sector for Philippine democracy, disillusionment towards the government can compromise participation. We examine how social media, by facilitating the spread of misinformation and incivility, inhibits voting likelihood among the youth. Using ordered logistic regression on survey data comprising 23,996 college students across the country, we find that citizens who can accurately identify real political news from fake and have high confidence in their ability to detect misinformation are more likely to vote in the upcoming Philippine presidential elections. Thus, contrary to previous empirical work, both confidence and information accuracy are crucial predictors of voter likelihood.

Keywords: Misinformation, Voting Likelihood, Media, Youth, Philippines

Suggested Citation

Mendoza, Gabrielle Ann and Ballar, Kier Jesse and Yap, Jurel and Imelda, Deinla, Misinformed or Overconfident? Fake News and Youth Voting Likelihood in the Philippines (March 23, 2022). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4064584 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4064584

Gabrielle Ann Mendoza

School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University ( email )

Pacifico Ortiz Hall, Social Development Complex
Quezon City, 1108
Philippines

Kier Jesse Ballar

School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University ( email )

ASOG – Ateneo de Manila University Loyola Heights
Quezon City, Metro Manila 1108
Philippines

Jurel Yap (Contact Author)

School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University ( email )

Pacifico Ortiz Hall, Fr. Arrupe Road
Social Development Complex, Loyola Heights
Quezon City, Manila 1108
Philippines

Deinla Imelda

School of Government, Ateneo de Manila University ( email )

Pacifico Ortiz Hall, Social Development Complex
Ateneo de Manila University, Loyola Heights, Quezo
Quezon City, 1108
Philippines

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