The Q Theory of Housing Investment

Posted: 20 Jun 2003

See all articles by G. Donald Jud

G. Donald Jud

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Greensboro - Department of Accounting and Finance

Daniel T. Winkler

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Greensboro - Department of Accounting and Finance

Abstract

This paper presents estimates of a Q model of housing investment, using quarterly data for the U.S. The empirical model is estimated using building permits, housing starts, and housing investment expenditures as measures of investment. The current and lagged values of the Q ratio are found to be positively and significantly associated with housing investment, whichever way investment is measured. The findings suggest that the housing market indeed functions as Tobin has theorized. Housing suppliers appear to respond to the demands of housing consumers, building more new homes when existing home prices are high relative to new home prices.

Keywords: Q Ratio, Q Theory, Housing Investment

Suggested Citation

Jud, G. Donald and Winkler, Daniel T., The Q Theory of Housing Investment. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol. 27, No. 3. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=410300

G. Donald Jud (Contact Author)

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Greensboro - Department of Accounting and Finance ( email )

P.O. Box 26165
Greensboro, NC 27412
United States
336-334-3091 (Phone)
336-334-4141 (Fax)

Daniel T. Winkler

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Greensboro - Department of Accounting and Finance ( email )

Greensboro, NC 27412
United States
336-256-0122 (Phone)

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