How to Solve Big Problems: Bespoke Versus Platform Strategies

Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 610, July 2022, 127919

34 Pages Posted: 2 Jun 2022 Last revised: 15 Jun 2022

See all articles by Atif Ansar

Atif Ansar

University of Oxford - Said Business School

Bent Flyvbjerg

University of Oxford - Said Business School; IT University of Copenhagen; St Anne's College, University of Oxford

Date Written: May 25, 2022

Abstract

How should government and business solve big problems? In bold leaps or in many smaller moves? We show that bespoke, one-off projects are prone to poorer outcomes than projects built on a repeatable platform. Repeatable projects are cheaper, faster, and scale at lower risk of failure. We compare evidence from 203 space missions at NASA and SpaceX, on cost, speed-to-market, schedule, and scalability. We find that SpaceX’s platform strategy was 10X cheaper and 2X faster than NASA’s bespoke strategy. Moreover, SpaceX’s platform strategy was financially less risky, virtually eliminating cost overruns. Finally, we show that achieving platform repeatability is a strategically diligent process involving experimental learning sequences. Sectors of the economy where governments find it difficult to control spending or timeframes or to realize planned benefits – e.g., health, education, climate, defence – are ripe for a platform rethink.

Keywords: Platforms, megaprojects, major projects, strategy, public policy, space missions, rocket launches, payload, cost overruns, speed-to-market, scalability, scale-up

JEL Classification: G31, H43, H53, L26, L33, L90, M16, O32

Suggested Citation

Ansar, Atif and Flyvbjerg, Bent, How to Solve Big Problems: Bespoke Versus Platform Strategies (May 25, 2022). Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 610, July 2022, 127919, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4119492

Atif Ansar

University of Oxford - Said Business School ( email )

Park End Street
Oxford, OX1 1HP
Great Britain

Bent Flyvbjerg (Contact Author)

University of Oxford - Said Business School ( email )

Oxford
Great Britain

IT University of Copenhagen ( email )

Copenhagen
Denmark

St Anne's College, University of Oxford ( email )

Oxford
United Kingdom

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