Coalbed Methane Concentration Prediction and Early-Warning in Fully Mechanized Mining Face Based on Deep Learning

Abstract

Coalbed methane (CBM) disaster is a major safety problem in coal mining. CBM concentration prediction and early-warning technology play a vital role in the prevention and control of CBM disasters. Traditional prediction methods have some shortcomings such as unreasonable data analysis, inability to predict in real time, long prediction time, and overfitting. This study uses of a large amount of coal mine CBM data and develops a fast and high-precision CBM concentration prediction method based on deep learning theory, which can be used for CBM disaster early-warning. The proposed method has the following advantages: (1) it combines three exponential smoothing methods, autoregressive model, wavelet domain denoising method and principal component analysis. This method optimizes data with outliers, missing values and noise. (2) Particle swarm optimization and genetic algorithm are used to optimize the network parameters of the gated recurrent unit. The application and verification show that the running time and accuracy of the optimized model are significantly improved. (3) Combining the optimized prediction model with spark streaming, an early-warning system is developed, which can complete the efficient early-warning of CBM concentration within 7s.The proposed method provides decision-making support for mine safety and CBM disaster prevention and control.

Keywords: coalbed methane disaster, deep learning, gated circulation unit, prediction model