Validating DSGE Models Through Dynamic Factor Models

42 Pages Posted: 23 Jun 2022

See all articles by Mario Forni

Mario Forni

Università degli studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia (UNIMORE) - Dipartimento di Economia Marco Biagi di Modena; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Luca Gambetti

University of Turin; Autonomous University of Barcelona

Marco Lippi

Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF)

Luca Sala

University of Bocconi - Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research (IGIER)

Date Written: June 1, 2022

Abstract

We urge the use of Structural Dynamic Factor Models (DFM) to validate and to guide the construction of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models. The main reason is that the log-linear solution of a DSGE model has a factor structure which ensures consistency between the representations of the two models. We assess, by means of a few simulations, the validity of SDFM as an empirical tool to complement DSGE analysis. Using a DSGE model as data generating process, the factor model provides very accurate estimates of the true impulse response functions. As an application, we validate a theory of TFP news and surprise shocks.

Suggested Citation

Forni, Mario and Gambetti, Luca and Lippi, Marco and Sala, Luca, Validating DSGE Models Through Dynamic Factor Models (June 1, 2022). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP17379, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4144710

Mario Forni (Contact Author)

Università degli studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia (UNIMORE) - Dipartimento di Economia Marco Biagi di Modena ( email )

Via Università 4
Modena, Modena 41121
Italy

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Luca Gambetti

University of Turin ( email )

Via Po 53
Torino, Turin - Piedmont 10100
Italy

Autonomous University of Barcelona ( email )

Marco Lippi

Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF) ( email )

Via Due Macelli, 73
Rome, 00187
Italy

Luca Sala

University of Bocconi - Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research (IGIER) ( email )

Via Roentgen 1
Milan, 20136
Italy
+39 02 5836 3326 (Phone)

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