Financial and Macroeconomic Indicators of Recession Risk
Posted: 24 Jun 2022
Date Written: June 1, 2022
Abstract
Recessions impose sizable hardship, with large increases in the unemployment rate and related dislocations. In addition, recessions can lead to large shifts in financial markets. As a result, economists and financial market professionals have considered prediction models to assess the probability of a recession.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Kiley, Michael T., Financial and Macroeconomic Indicators of Recession Risk (June 1, 2022). FEDS Notes No. 2022-06-21-1, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4145105 or http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.3126
Michael T. Kiley (Contact Author)
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ( email )
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