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Heart Failure and Other Outcomes in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation by Heart Failure Phenotype

38 Pages Posted: 28 Jun 2022 Publication Status: Preprint

See all articles by Riccardo M. Inciardi

Riccardo M. Inciardi

University of Brescia

Robert P. Giugliano

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Jeong-Gun Park

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Francesco Nordio

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Christian Thomas Ruff

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Cathy Chen

Daiichi Sankyo Pharma Development

Hans J. Lanz

Daiichi Sankyo Europe

Elliott M. Antman

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Eugene Braunwald

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Scott D. Solomon

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital

Abstract

Objectives: To assess heart failure(HF) outcomes, according to HF history and HF phenotypes, and compare these events with stroke/systemic embolic events(SEE) and major bleeding(MB), among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).BackgroundThe risk of HF events compared to SEE or MB by HF phenotypes (reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) or preserved EF (HFpEF)), in a large AF population, has not been well-studied.

Methods: We analyzed patients enrolled in the ENGAGE-AF TIMI48 trial. Cumulative incidence of HF hospitalization(HHF) or HF death was assessed and compared to the rates of fatal and non-fatal stroke/SEE and MB, over a median follow-up of 2.8 years.

Results: Overall, 12124(57.4%) had a history of HF(37.7%HFrEF, 40.1%HFpEF, 22.1% with unknown EF). The annualized rate of HHF or HF death (4.95%,95%confidence interval (CI):4.70%-5.20%) was higher than of fatal and non-fatal stroke/SEE (1.77%,95%CI:1.63%-1.92%) and MB (2.66%,95%CI:2.63%-3.10%) among patients with HF history. HFrEF patients experienced a higher rate of HHF or HF death compared with HFpEF (7.15% vs. 3.65%, p<0.001), while the rates of fatal and non-fatal stroke/SEE and MB were similar by HF phenotype. Patients with HF history had a higher rate of mortality after a HHF (1.29%,95%CI:1.17%-1.42%) than after a stroke/SEE (0.69%,95%CI:0.60%-0.78%) or after a MB (0.61%,95%CI:0.53%-0.70%).

Conclusion: Patients with AF and HF, regardless of EF, are at a higher risk of HF events with higher subsequent mortality rates than of stroke/SEE or MB. While HFrEF is associated with a higher risk of HF events than HFpEF, the risk of stroke/SEE and MB is similar between HFrEF and HFpEF.

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation, Heart failure, stroke/systemic embolic events, major bleeding

Suggested Citation

Inciardi, Riccardo M. and Giugliano, Robert P. and Park, Jeong-Gun and Nordio, Francesco and Ruff, Christian Thomas and Chen, Cathy and Lanz, Hans J. and Antman, Elliott M. and Braunwald, Eugene and Solomon, Scott D., Heart Failure and Other Outcomes in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation by Heart Failure Phenotype. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4148267 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4148267

Riccardo M. Inciardi

University of Brescia ( email )

Piazza del Mercato, 15
25122 Brescia
Italy

Robert P. Giugliano

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital ( email )

Jeong-Gun Park

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital ( email )

Francesco Nordio

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital ( email )

Christian Thomas Ruff

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital ( email )

Cathy Chen

Daiichi Sankyo Pharma Development ( email )

Hans J. Lanz

Daiichi Sankyo Europe ( email )

Elliott M. Antman

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital ( email )

Eugene Braunwald

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital ( email )

Scott D. Solomon (Contact Author)

Harvard University - Brigham and Women’s Hospital ( email )

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