Disclosure in Democracy

65 Pages Posted: 19 Jul 2022

See all articles by Matthew Denes

Matthew Denes

Carnegie Mellon University - Tepper School of Business

Madeline Marco Scanlon

University of Pittsburgh, Katz School of Business

Florian Schulz

University of Washington

Date Written: July 4, 2022

Abstract

Using hand-collected data on political contributions from undisclosed sources, we document novel stylized facts on "dark money" and its role in elections and politician type. Over the past decade, dark money has become a major source of campaign financing and currently comprises the largest source of capital from special interest groups. Consistent with evading disclosure, dark money is spent just before an election and often transferred to other special interest groups. We show that dark money is more likely to support candidates in competitive races and in areas with reduced information environments, lower education, greater inequality, and less poverty. Exploiting variation in exposure to television advertisements, we find that candidates supported by dark money advertisements receive an increase in votes and are more likely to win elections. While politicians supported by dark money organizations are more likely to engage in the political process by voting for and sponsoring legislation aligned with business interests, they are also more likely to be subsequently voted out of office, suggesting that they may enact an agenda focused on their donors rather than their constituents. Taken together, our results provide the first systematic evidence on the rise and impact of dark money in U.S. congressional elections, contributing to the ongoing debate about disclosure requirements of political spending.

Keywords: political economy, disclosure, dark money, political contributions

JEL Classification: D72, D73, H57, P16

Suggested Citation

Denes, Matthew and Marco Scanlon, Madeline and Schulz, Florian, Disclosure in Democracy (July 4, 2022). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4154777 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4154777

Matthew Denes (Contact Author)

Carnegie Mellon University - Tepper School of Business ( email )

5000 Forbes Avenue
Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890
United States

HOME PAGE: http://sites.google.com/site/matthewdenes

Madeline Marco Scanlon

University of Pittsburgh, Katz School of Business ( email )

Pittsburgh, PA
United States

Florian Schulz

University of Washington

Box 353226
Seattle, WA 98195
United States

HOME PAGE: http://sites.google.com/site/schulzflor/home/personal

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
279
Abstract Views
971
Rank
210,690
PlumX Metrics