Detecting Anti-dumping Circumvention: A Network Approach

18 Pages Posted: 1 Aug 2022

See all articles by Luca Barbaglia

Luca Barbaglia

European Commission-Joint Research Centre

Christophe Croux

EDHEC Business School

Ines Wilms

Maastricht University

Date Written: July 12, 2022


Despite the increasing integration of the global economic system, anti-dumping measures are a common tool used by governments to protect their national economy.
In this paper, we propose a methodology to detect cases of anti-dumping circumvention through re-routing trade via a third country.
Based on the observed full network of trade flows, we propose a measure to proxy the evasion of an anti-dumping duty for a subset of trade flows directed to the European Union, and look for possible cases of circumvention of an active anti-dumping duty.
Using panel regression, we are able correctly classify 86% of the trade flows, on which an investigation of anti-dumping circumvention has been opened by the European authorities.

Keywords: anti-dumping, circumvention, networks, world trade

JEL Classification: C55, F14, Q37

Suggested Citation

Barbaglia, Luca and Croux, Christophe and Wilms, Ines, Detecting Anti-dumping Circumvention: A Network Approach (July 12, 2022). Available at SSRN: or

Luca Barbaglia (Contact Author)

European Commission-Joint Research Centre ( email )

Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Rue du

Christophe Croux

EDHEC Business School ( email )

58 rue du Port
Lille, 59046

Ines Wilms

Maastricht University ( email )

P.O. Box 616
Maastricht, Limburg 6200MD

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