False Hopes: The Impact of National Leaders’ Corporate Visits on Industry Peers

55 Pages Posted: 28 Jul 2022 Last revised: 31 Jul 2023

See all articles by Linxiang Ma

Linxiang Ma

University of Strathclyde - Strathclyde Business School; University of Melbourne

Date Written: January 9, 2023


II study how politicians' activities affect the stock market and firm performance. Using hand-collected data on China's national leaders' corporate visits, I investigate the industry-wide implications of these visits. I find that over the six days surrounding a visit, an average industry peer's value increases by 4% of its total assets. This result reflects investors' favourable reactions to leaders' indications of more government support for the industry. However, the industry peer's profitability plummets by more than 11% in the following two years. Further analysis reveals that after the visits, industry peers increase their investments, presumably in anticipation of additional government subsidies and credits. However, these resources are never delivered, and the profitability of these firms falls. My findings suggest that national leaders' visits do not help boost the targeted industries, and firms should carefully interpret the politicians' activities.

Keywords: Politician Activity, Political Economy, Firm Value, Firm Performance, China

JEL Classification: G14, G31, H71, P26

Suggested Citation

Ma, Linxiang, False Hopes: The Impact of National Leaders’ Corporate Visits on Industry Peers (January 9, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4171205 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4171205

Linxiang Ma (Contact Author)

University of Strathclyde - Strathclyde Business School ( email )

United Kingdom

University of Melbourne ( email )


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