Market Timing in Open Market Bond Repurchases

67 Pages Posted: 9 Aug 2022 Last revised: 11 Feb 2024

See all articles by Nadav Steinberg

Nadav Steinberg

Bank of Israel - Research Department

Avi Wohl

Tel Aviv University - Coller School of Management

Date Written: October 22, 2023

Abstract

Bond repurchases are widespread in the US and other markets but data limitations have thus far prevented market-timing analysis. Using unique Israeli daily data we show that firms time the market in their actual open market bond repurchases. Bond repurchases typically follow price decline and result in significantly positive abnormal returns in the following days: about 1% in five trading days. The market reaction is quicker within a pre-announced repurchase program, and it is stronger when the firm repurchases high-yield bonds or when the repurchase is preceded by positive net insider share purchases. The results lend support to the information motive for bond repurchases benefiting ongoing stakeholders but detrimental to selling bondholders.

JEL Classification: G14, G35

Suggested Citation

Steinberg, Nadav and Wohl, Avi, Market Timing in Open Market Bond Repurchases (October 22, 2023). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4180932 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4180932

Nadav Steinberg

Bank of Israel - Research Department ( email )

PO Box 780
Jerusalem 91007
Israel

Avi Wohl (Contact Author)

Tel Aviv University - Coller School of Management ( email )

P.O. Box 39010
Ramat Aviv, Tel Aviv, 69978
Israel
+972 3 6409051 (Phone)

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