Climate Uncertainty and Information Transmissions Across the Conventional and ESG Assets

34 Pages Posted: 1 Sep 2022

See all articles by Oğuzhan Çepni

Oğuzhan Çepni

Copenhagen Business School

Riza Demirer

Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance; Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Linh Pham

University of Central Oklahoma - Department of Economics

Lavinia Rognone

The University of Manchester - Alliance Manchester Business School

Abstract

We examine the effect of climate uncertainty on the spillover effects across the European conventional and ESG financial markets via novel measures of physical and transitional climate risk proxies obtained from textual analysis. While the conventional stock market index serves as the net shock transmitter to ESG assets, we find that shock transmissions between the two asset classes are significantly lower during periods of high climate uncertainty, suggesting that ESG investments can offer conventional investors diversification benefits against climate-driven shocks. Indeed, by comparing a forward-looking investment strategy conditional on the level of climate risk to the passive investment strategy, we show that investors who are worried about physical climate risks could utilize ESG equity sector portfolios as a diversification tool during periods of high physical climate uncertainty. In contrast, ESG bonds are found to be particularly useful in managing transition risk exposures that are associated with policy uncertainty and/or business transitions with respect to environmental policies. The findings have important implications for investors and policymakers regarding the role of climate uncertainty as a driver of informational spillovers across the conventional and ESG assets with important insights to manage climate risk exposures.

Keywords: Climate risk, ESG investments, Dynamic connectedness, Hedging

Suggested Citation

Çepni, Oğuzhan and Demirer, Riza and Pham, Linh and Rognone, Lavinia, Climate Uncertainty and Information Transmissions Across the Conventional and ESG Assets. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4181940 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4181940

Oğuzhan Çepni (Contact Author)

Copenhagen Business School ( email )

Solbjerg Plads 3
Frederiksberg C, DK - 2000
Denmark

Riza Demirer

Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance ( email )

Department of Economics & Finance
Alumni Hall 3145
Edwardsville, IL 62026-1102
United States
(618) 650-2939 (Phone)
(618) 650-3047 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.siue.edu/~rdemire/

Economic Research Forum (ERF) ( email )

21 Al-Sad Al-Aaly St.
(P.O. Box: 12311)
Cairo, Cairo
Egypt

HOME PAGE: http://erf.org.eg/affiliates/riza-demirer-3/

Linh Pham

University of Central Oklahoma - Department of Economics ( email )

Edmond, OK 73034
United States

Lavinia Rognone

The University of Manchester - Alliance Manchester Business School ( email )

Booth Street West
Manchester, M15 6PB
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/lavinia.rognone.html

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