The Effect of Number Type on Naturalness Perception

23 Pages Posted: 13 Aug 2022

See all articles by Y Li

Y Li

Macquarie University

Mario Pandelaere

Virginia Tech

Abstract

This research demonstrates a novel effect of number type, sharp versus round, on indvidual’s perception of object’s naturalness. In four online experiments (N = 1,041), we demonstrate that individuals perceive an object to be more natural if its properties are expressed in sharp numbers (vs. round numbers). This is because individuals apply a “natural = sharp number” belief such that sharp numbers are more likely to occur as a random outcome (i.e., being the property of a natural object) than round numbers. However, they erroneously equate the conditional probability of an object’s property being a sharp number provided that it is natural ( p (sharp|natural)) with the conditional probability of an object being natural given that its property is expressed in a sharp number ( p (natural|sharp)). This confusion leads individuals to infer an object’s naturalness from the number type of its property. This inference is stronger for individuals with a stronger “natural = sharp number” belief and decreases for individuals who believe in coincidence thus more accepting of low probability outcomes.

Keywords: round number, naturalness perception, conditional probability, Inverse Fallacy

Suggested Citation

Li, Y and Pandelaere, Mario, The Effect of Number Type on Naturalness Perception. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4189264 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4189264

Y Li (Contact Author)

Macquarie University ( email )

Mario Pandelaere

Virginia Tech ( email )

Blacksburg, VA 24061
United States

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